Saturday, February 24, 2007

The Winnability Formula...challenge it and risk another beating

Question: What do these presidential candidates have in common? Johnson, Nixon, Carter, Reagan, Clinton, Bush II?

Answer: They were all
moderate or conservative governors or vice-presidents and all were all from of states west of the Mississippi and/or south of the Mason-Dixon line...and they all won presidential elections.

Question:
What do these presidential candidates have in common? Humphrey, McGovern, and Dukakis?

Answer: All were liberals, northerners, none were governors, and all lost. Mondale had been a VP, but he was also a liberal northerner who lost against a conservative western governor (Reagan) in 1984. (If he'd been a moderate governor from the south or west, we probably wouldn't have had to endure another 4 years of Reagan.)

[The outlier was Gore vs Bush II in 2000...Gore was a moderate from a southern state (albeit east of the Missisippi) and was an ex-VP. And Gore did win the popular vote.]

Since 1964, Democrats have not won with candidates who are either northerners OR senators. Doesn't this mean ANYTHING to Democrats and The Big Eastern Media? Why on earth would Dems want to risk another loss by gambling on a northerner OR a senator? It just doesn't make sense. It sure looks like the public prefers candidates who are moderates, who've balanced budgets and have executive experience at the state level.

Get over it, Easterners...the rest of the country doesn't want the same candidates you do. Please don't burden us with another senator...our country just can't survive another 4-8 years of Republican rule.

0 comments: